buysellhold july.23

 

UOB KAYHIAN

UOB KAYHIAN

Aztech Global (AZTECH SP)

1Q25: Results Below Expectations; Downgrade To SELL On Challenging Outlook

 

1Q25 earnings of S$1.5m (-91% yoy) are way below our expectation, forming only 3% of our full-year estimate. Revenue fell 67% yoy on reduced customer demand. Aztech is looking to tap opportunities that may arise from the current challenging situation as the global economic climate remains mired in uncertainty with the evolving trade wars and geopolitical tensions. Downgrade to SELL with a 29% lower target price of S$0.46.

 

 

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Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK)

Expecting Solid 1Q25 Earnings Growth But Trade War Risk Lingers

 

HKEX is expected to report a 36.3% yoy net profit growth in 1Q25, driven by a strong headline ADT performance amid the AI frenzy in China. Despite the volume spike following the US tariff shock, we believe such a high turnover velocity driven by market uncertainty is unlikely to continue and we expect headline ADT to ease gradually as risk-off sentiment prevails. However, the current valuation (-0.5SD) is not particularly stretched after the recent pullback, in our view. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$394.00.

 

 

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CGS CIMB

DBS RESEARCH

Aztech Global Ltd

1Q25 off to a dismal start

 

■ 1Q25 performance was dismal, with revenue (S$42m; -49% qoq, -67% yoy) forming just 8% of our/Bloomberg consensus full-year forecasts.

■ 1Q25 net profit (S$1.5m; -85% qoq, -91% yoy) formed just 3% of our/Bloomberg consensus full-year forecasts.

■ Given the big miss to our FY25-27F EPS expectations on lower demand from its customers, we downgrade Aztech to Reduce from Hold with S$0.41 TP.

 

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"Fortune rewards the brave – Singapore REITs"

 

Key Takeaways:

🔹 Attractive Re-Entry Levels for S-REITs:

  • Current S-REIT valuations at 0.82x P/B and FY25F yield of 6.7% are close to historic lows, offering compelling risk-reward opportunities.

  • Historically, investing at ~0.8x P/B has led to positive one-year returns.

  • Market uncertainty (e.g., Trump's tariff strategies) supports a defensive sector allocation:
    Retail > Industrial > Office > Hotels.

🔹 Resilience Amid Economic Stress:

  • Stress tests (assuming -5% to -15% valuation drops) show most S-REITs can weather downturns.

  • Gearing remains within MAS limits, especially with the revised 50% threshold.

  • Past recapitalisation and divestment efforts have bolstered balance sheet strength.

🔹 Opportunities in Mispriced REITs:

  • Despite economic headwinds, a 6.7% forward yield (at -1 to -2 SD from mean) suggests earnings risks are largely priced in.

  • Even with a 15% drop in distributions, select names still offer upside potential.


REITs to Watch (Alpha Opportunities):

  • MPACT (Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust)

  • FEHT (Far East Hospitality Trust)

  • Sasseur REIT

  • FLCT (Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust)

DBS RESEARCH LIM & TAN

DBS Equity Picks

Staying agile amid volatility

 

• SG Equity Picks outperformed amid volatility, with MTD return of -3.2% vs. the STI’s -10.7%

• Since inception, TWRR eased to 198.1% (from 203.3% last month) vs. STI’s total return of 72.5% (prev. 85.3%)

 

 

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LHN’s market cap stands at S$176mln and trades at a forward P/E of 5.5x and 0.7x P/B. Its 3 cents dividend (sustained in the past 2 years consisting of 1 ct interim, 1 ct final and 1 ct special) translates to an attractive 7.1% dividend yield. LHN’s proposed spin-off of its biggest contributor Coliwoo may unlock value for shareholders as a pureplay co-living housing business. We do not rule out special dividends/ dividend-in-specie should the listing materialize. Bloomberg consensus 1-year average target price of 56 cents implies a potential return of 33%. We maintain Accumulate on LHN Limited.

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