THE CONTEXT

 AI giants have recently announced massive spending for data centres, and a Singapore-listed company, CSE Global, stands to benefit.

• CSE is already working with Amazon, which is on track to place up an amazing USD1.5 billion of work with CSE over the next five years.

It's a strong endorsement for CSE as a serious player in the US data centre market, the largest by far in the world.

• CSE has been servicing Amazon for the last few years with prior contract sizes of US$40m–50m, according to CGS International.

• Now CGS's bull case sees even more upside ahead: if CSE wins another two new clients (hyperscalers like Google) with c.US$40m electrification contracts awarded from each hyperscaler in FY26-27, its net profit could grow 34–43% to S$48m in FY26F and S$64m in FY27F.

• Read excerpts of CGS's report below ....



Excerpts from CGS report
Analysts: TAN Jie Hui & LIM Siew Khee

CSE to benefit from AWS DC expansion
■ AWS’s stepped-up data centre capex reinforces medium-term demand for DC electrification, positioning CSE for sustained order opportunities.

CSE

Share price: 
$1.25

Target: 
$1.50

 ■ Projected FY25F order wins of c.S$1bn could lift orderbook to c.S$762m, underpinning 30% yoy net profit growth to S$44m in FY26F, we estimate.

■ Reiterate Add with a higher TP of S$1.50, pegged to 19x FY27F P/E.

 

AWS expansion supports DC electrification outlook

In Amazon Web Services’ (AWS, AMZN US, NR, CP: US$209) latest earnings release in Feb 26, Amazon announced capex of US$200bn for FY26F, with the majority allocated to data centre (DC) development.

CSE: Total contract wins in FY25F

S$1.0 billion

Earlier, in Nov 25, AWS also unveiled plans to invest up to US$50bn to build and deploy its first purpose-built AI and high-performance computing (HPC) infrastructure for the US government.

We believe these announcements further reinforce the medium-term demand outlook for DC electrification.

As capacity build-out accelerates across US government and hyperscale DC projects, CSE is well positioned to benefit from sustained order opportunities from AWS, in our view.

Record-high order wins likely in 4Q25F and FY25F

Electrification 10.25Key types of electrification projects by CSEWe expect 2H25F net profit to come in at c.S$18m (-18% yoy, +13% hoh), with EBIT margin flat hoh at c.5.5% (-1.8ppt yoy).

A key area of focus will be admin costs, which we estimate to rise to c.S$109m (c.23% of revenue, +32% yoy, +17% hoh).

In Dec 25, CSE announced two major order wins:

(i) three LNG electrification contracts worth S$162m, with execution spanning FY26F–FY28F, and

(ii) an Amazon electrification contract worth S$186m, scheduled for delivery in FY26F.

These awards lifted FY25F disclosed contract wins to S$861m.

Including c.S$150m of recurring flow contracts per quarter, we estimate 4Q25F order wins reached S$496m and total FY25F contract wins reached c.S$1bn, a record high, lifting the orderbook to c.S$762m.

We expect FY26F operating profit margin to expand by 1% pt to 6%, as the bulk of manpower additions (technical and engineering staff) and early equipment investments for the new 241k sq ft facility were front-loaded in FY25F.

Consequently, we forecast FY26F net profit growth of 30% yoy to S$44m.


Reiterate Add with a higher TP of S$1.50

We raise our FY26F/27F EPS forecasts by 4%/3%, driven by higher FY25F order win expectations.

Tan Jiehui 7.25Tan Jie Hui, analyst
We also lift our multiple to 19x FY27F P/E, +1 s.d. from the 10-year historical mean, supported by FY26–27F EPS growth of c.31% p.a. (15x previously, based on +0.5 s.d. from the 10-year historical mean).

As a result, our TP rises to S$1.50.

We like CSE for multi-year earnings visibility from the AWS programme, which could exceed US$1.5bn over five years, in our view.

In addition, CSE is qualifying for DC electrification projects with two other hyperscalers — successful conversion could scale the business beyond the US$1bn FY26F order wins.

Re-rating catalysts: large-scale electrification order wins and expansion.

Downside risks: cost overruns and slower-than-expected order intake.



lamp9.25→ See CGS's full report here. 

→ Read about another data centre play: 
ISDN: 1H25 Core Profit Jumps 35%, Powering Ahead with Automation and Hydropower





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