THE CONTEXT

 
• While several IPOs have not done well in regular trading, EGP Energy (SGX: EGX) has shot up ~50% since July 2026 from its 51-cent IPO price.

EGP is not really an “energy” company in the usual sense. It is a specialist engineering contractor that helps build and maintain Singapore’s power grid.

• Its work involves high-voltage substations, switchgear, transformers and other equipment needed to transmit and distribute electricity.

• The investment case is fairly simple: EGP operates in a field with high barriers to entry, has a very large order book, requires relatively little capital to grow, and has a maintenance business that can provide recurring, high-margin income.

The main risk is that a very large part of its business comes from one major customer -- SP PowerGrid.

EGP 10.26

• EGP has been in this business for more than 30 years and has completed over 90 projects.

It is qualified to undertake projects without a contract-value limit. Only a small number of peers have this qualification and the experience needed to handle major high-voltage power projects.

• OCBC Research has just initiated coverage. Read excerpts of its report below .....



Excerpts from OCBC Research report
Analyst: Heidi Mo
 
Initiation: EGP Energy Corporation Limited (EGX SP) 

Hidden leader with >40% upside

• Market-leading T&D contractor and one of only 16 firms in Singapore holding the BCA SY04 L6 Unlimited certification with a 37.5% EHV/HV switchgear market share 

EGP ENERGY

Share price: 
$0.77

Target: 
$1.05

• Robust SGD296.2m order book (4.8x FY25 revenue) is expected to drive an average annual growth of 36% from
FY25 to FY28E, with SGD57m net cash for dividend and regional expansion

• Initiate with a BUY rating and a target price of SGD1.05 based on a target P/E multiple of 16.5x, implying 43% upside



Market leadership backed by regulatory moat

EGP commands 37.5% of Singapore’s EHV/HV switchgear market, supported by its BCA SY04 L6 Unlimited certification (only 16 firms in Singapore hold this apex license for T&D EPC contracts).

Its 30-year track 
record with zero reportable safety incidents and deep technical expertise in multi-OEM integration differentiate it from generalist
competitors and provide pricing power.


Robust orderbook locks in multi-year revenue pipeline. EGP’s SGD296.2m order book (as of 13 Aug 2026) represents 4.8x FY25 revenue, of which we project that 65% of these contracts will be recognised from 2H26 to 2H28.

Its KUC provides non-
discretionary, legislatively mandated T&D capex visibility through 2030, underpinned by Singapore’s Energy 2050 target of 6GW
low-carbon electricity imports and data centre electrification (700MW+ new capacity approved).

The order book excludes 
recent contract wins (SGD8.8m from 13 Aug 26) which validate continued customer confidence.

Superior unit economics drive profit growth

We forecast EGP to deliver strong profitability in FY26E with 24.4% core EBITDA margin versus peer average of 11.5%, while capex should be minimal at around 2% of revenue.

The asset-light, non-
manufacturing model avoids heavy capex and working capital drag typical of manufacturing competitors.

M&S contracts 
generate 50% gross margin (FY23-25 average), on an installed base of over 4,010 Mega Volt-Ampere (MVA), providing recurring revenue anchored to its KUC’s 7,000+ substations and creating a transition toward a service-led, higher-margin business model.

Its 
negative working capital cycle also enables self-funding operations and rapid cash conversion.


Demand tailwinds drive TAM expansion. Singapore’s Power Transmission and Distribution System (PTDS) market grew at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 56% from SGD585m in 2022 to SGD2.24b in 2025 and is expected to reach SGD2.79b by 2030 (5% CAGR).

Growth is driven by solar power purchase 
agreements (SPPA), green hydrogen import infrastructure, undersea HVDC cables (6GW low-carbon electricity imports by 2035), data centre expansion, semiconductor manufacturing capex, EV charging infrastructure, and equipment replacement cycles (installed in 1980s-2000s).

Regional opportunities are also 
materializing. Malaysia's TNB RP4 framework allocates MYR14.3b (SGD4.8b) annually through 2027, which EGP is positioned to capture via its 60:40 joint venture with Kum Fatt Engineering (CIDB Grade G7 accreditation).

Indonesia's PLN capex of SGD2.8b-
3.0b annually through 2034 offers longer-term upside.


Strong balance sheet supports shareholder returns

Net cash position of SGD57m (35% of market cap) as of end-2026 with zero debt provides downside protection and strategic flexibility for regional M&A and geographic expansion without dilution.

HeidiMo2.26Heidi Mo, analystManagement has indicated dividend payout of up to 40% of NPAT for FY26-27E, translating to 3.3%/3.4% dividend yield for FY26E/27E.

IPO allocation of SGD8m to geographic expansion into 
Malaysia and Indonesia signals commitment to de-risking customer concentration while preserving organic cash generation capability built over 30 years.

Initiate with BUY. 



lamp9.25See also: 

Aedge’s S$3.5 M Placement: Another Sign Funds Are Looking Beyond the Blue Chips




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