overview1.21

Intel Corp is the No.1 customer of AEM Holdings. Naturally, investors worry if AEM's shipments to US-headquartered Intel Corp would be impacted by US tariffs.

They assume AEM sends a ton of its chip-testing gear straight to Intel in the US. That’s not really the case.

Yes, a small slice of AEM’s shipments go to the US. But the bulk heads to Intel factories outside America—Malaysia is a big one.

Intel’s got major operations in Kulim and Penang, Malaysia, where they assemble, test, and package chips. (For more, see How Intel Pioneered the Semiconductor Industry In Malaysia)

And AEM even has its own factory in Penang, so sending equipment over is basically a drive down the road.



Read AEM's own words in a new SGX filing, in response to a shareholder question ahead of its AGM: 

Q: Has AEM had conversations with its customers or potential customers in relation to the string of tariff announcements made by the U.S.? If yes, what are the key areas of discussion?

A: The evolving global trade landscape, especially under the current U.S. administration, has introduced a heightened level of unpredictability in the business world.

For AEM, U.S. shipments account for a modest share of revenue (~16.2% in 2024, ~19.9% in 2023).

In the Test Cell Solutions (“TCS”) segment, the majority of AI and HPC chip manufacturing – including chip testing – takes place outside of the U.S..

As a result, most of AEM’s test equipment is shipped internationally and remains largely unaffected by U.S. tariffs.

We have close relationships with our customers both in the TCS and Contract Manufacturing segments and are actively engaged with them in navigating the current environment of tariffs changes.

Our customers recognise AEM’s strengths and advantages, and these strong partnerships allow us to be agile and confident.

 

A check of AEM's 2024 annual report gives a broader picture of where it derived its revenue: 

AEM US revenue2024

One may wonder at the existence of some countries in the above list, such as Vietnam, Costa Rica, Ireland and Germany. Intel does have manufacturing sites in those countries.

Further clues can be found in the annual report listing of AEM's subsidiaries and their principal activities are.

So this is what they do where: 

Vietnam:

a) Printed circuit board assembly and contract manufacturing. This comes under AEM's contract manufacturing business and does not involve Intel.

b) Producing, processing and assembling of equipment or components for connection and semiconductor components for phones and electronics. (Contract manufacturing too).


Costa Rica: Engineering services (Likely as in-country support for Intel).

AEM does not have subsidiaries in Ireland and Germany but Intel does have manufacturing sites in those 2 countries.



The full Q&A between shareholders and AEM is here.
 


Meanwhile, the stock price of AEM has been a rough ride for shareholders, hitting $1.09 recently for a market cap of S$341 millon. 

chart4.25That's down by 53% in the past 12 months. 

It's likely due to a combination of AEM's muted revenue guidance for 1H2025, and all the noise about US tariffs affecting the tech sector, among others. 


As AEM's response to shareholders points out, the US tariffs are a non-material matter.

After a record breaking profit in 2022 was followed by a disastrous 2023 (when one-offs knocked the wind out of AEM) analysts expect 2H2025 to be an inflexion point for AEM. 

Profit track4.25Intel's cutting-edge testing equipment has won new global customers and revenue from them will ramp up to triple-digit millions in 2025 (per management guidance).

Management says these are multi-year, "sticky" projects with significant long-term revenue potential, and the full financial impact will build as production ramps.


See: AEM: 2025 forecast affirmed -- triple-digit million revenue from new customers



Aspect

2025 Outlook for New Customers

Revenue

> S$100 million (triple-digit millions)

Ramp Timing

Strongest in 2H25; production begins late 2024

Key Products

AMPS-BI (AI chips), PiXL thermal tech

Customer Base

5+ new accounts, not tied to Intel

Market Focus

AI, memory (GDDR7), advanced packaging

"A stronger 2H25 is expected, driven by a recovery in contract manufacturing and potential product ramp-ups. Looking ahead, we anticipate a stronger 2H25, driven by the ramp-up of key customers' devices and some recovery in the contract manufacturing segment.

"The AI customer’s pushout of system shipments into 2H25 also alludes to a better 2H25, given that their data centre sales will be flattish h/h in 1H25 and production ramp-ups of its upcoming product will only occur from mid-year onwards."

-- Amanda Tan, analyst, DBS Research
3 March 2025.



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